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The Central Limit Theorem states that the mean of a sample population of data will approach the mean of the entire population of data. This theorem is commonly used in real life in the form of surveys and polls, where a sample population of people is asked a question and the mean of their responses is used to estimate the opinion of the entire population. This is also used in the sciences to obtain estimates of population means from small samples, as the means of the sample population will approach the mean of the entire population.
The central limit theorem states that if we take repeated random samples from a population and calculate the mean value of each sample, then the distribution of the sample means will be approximately , even if the population the samples came from is not normal.
The central limit theorem also states that the mean of the sampling distribution will be equal to the mean of the population distribution:
x = μ
The central limit theorem is useful because it allows us to use a sample mean to draw conclusions about a larger .
The following examples show how the central limit theorem is used in different real-life situations.
Example 1: Economics
Economists often use the central limit theorem when using sample data to draw conclusions about a population.
For example, an economist may collect a of 50 individuals in a town and use the average annual income of the individuals in the sample to estimate the average annual income of individuals in the entire town.
If the economist finds that the average annual income of the individuals in the sample is $58,000, then her best guess for the true average annual income of individuals in the entire town will be $58,000.
Example 2: Biology
Biologists use the central limit theorem whenever they use data from a sample of organisms to draw conclusions about the overall population of organisms.
For example, a biologist may measure the height of 30 randomly selected plants and then use the sample mean height to estimate the population mean height.
If the biologist finds that the sample mean height of the 30 plants is 10.3 inches, then her best guess for the population mean height will also be 10.3 inches.
Example 3: Manufacturing
Manufacturing plants often use the central limit theorem to estimate how many products produced by the plant are defective.
For example, the manager of the plant may randomly select 60 products produced by the plant in a given day and count how many of the products are defective. He can use the proportion of defective products in the sample to estimate the proportion of all products that are defective that are produced by the entire plant.
If he finds that 2% of products are defective in the sample, then his best guess for the proportion of defective products produced by the entire plant is also 2%.
Example 4: Surveys
Human Resources departments often use the central limit theorem when using surveys to draw conclusions about overall employee satisfaction at companies.
For example, the HR department of some company may randomly select 50 employees to take a survey that assesses their overall satisfaction on a scale of 1 to 10.
If it’s found that the average satisfaction among employees in the survey is 8.5 then the best guess for the average satisfaction rating of all employees at the company is also 8.5.
Example 5: Agriculture
Agricultural scientists use the central limit theorem whenever they use data from samples to draw conclusions about a larger population.
For example, an agricultural scientist may test a new fertilizer on 15 different fields and measure the average crop yield of each field.
If it’s found that the average field produces 400 pounds of wheat, then the best guess for the average crop yield for all fields will also be 400 pounds.
The following tutorials provide additional information about the central limit theorem: